MOSCOW, November 28. /TASS/. The Bank of Russia may raise the key interest rate by another 2 percentage points to 23% at a meeting of the Board of Directors in December, First Deputy President and Chairman of the Board of VTB Dmitry Pyanov said.
"We forecast an increase [in the rate] in December to 23% and that it will be maintained throughout 2025," Pyanov said during a conference call with reporters.
On October 25, the Board of Directors of the Bank of Russia decided to raise the key rate by 2 percentage points to a record level of 21% per annum. In September, the regulator raised the key rate by 1 percentage point to 19% per annum.
In October, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation raised its inflation forecast for 2024 from 6.5-7% to 8-8.5%. Given the current monetary policy, annual inflation will fall to 4.5-5% in 2025, the regulator believes.
In turn, advisor to the Governor of the Bank of Russia Kirill Tremasov said earlier that that Bank of Russia will consider raising the key interest rate at a meeting in December. "At the December meeting we will consider the forecast for a further increase in the key rate, although this has not yet been predetermined. <...> The forecast for the average annual value of the key rate is 17-20%. However, the Bank of Russia is not obliged to keep the key rate at this level. If the economy continues to develop faster than expected, the rate may be higher, and vice versa," he said, adding that the neutral level of the key rate, at which the economy will be in a state of equilibrium, is expected to be reached in 2027.
"Low inflation, low inflation expectations and price stability will lead to interest inevitably decreasing and this is what we will strive for," he stressed.
He also reported that "under the conditions of constant sanctions pressure, exchange rate volatility, pro-inflationary pressure is growing". "A long period of tight monetary policy will be needed to restore price stability," Tremasov said.
The next meeting of the Board of Directors of the Bank of Russia on the key rate will be held on December 20.