BERLIN, February 24. /TASS/. If the new German government cannot solve the current problems, non-systemic parties will win the next elections, said German political scientist Alexander Rahr.
"The situation mirrors what is happening in France and many other European countries: all mainstream parties unite against both the far right and the far left. The differences in party platforms become irrelevant. The aim of the mainstream parties is unified: they are driven by the goal of maintaining power and preserving democracy," Rahr wrote on his Telegram channel.
The head of the Eurasian Society in Berlin also mentioned that if the new German government does not manage the ongoing crises, the Alternative for Germany party and non-systemic parties will dominate the next parliamentary elections.
The prospective future German chancellor from the Christian Democratic and Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc, Friedrich Merz and his colleagues, face significant obstacles, according to the political analyst. Merz, as per Rahr, aims to curb migration, but his future left-wing coalition partners are likely to thwart these plans.
"Merz intends to unite a weakening Europe around Germany, distance itself from [US President Donald] Trump, and create a militarily independent and powerful Europe, preparing for a potential war with Russia. Merz opposes a diplomatic solution to the Ukraine conflict; for him, the military defeat of Ukraine and the strengthening of Russia’s position are unacceptable," the expert noted
Rahr also pointed out that Germans "realize they are losing the American nuclear umbrella."
"There has been speculation that Germany would require nuclear weapons to safeguard Europe. But will the rest of Europe support that? Europe is changing quickly," he concluded.
According to exit polls, the CDU/CSU bloc leads the Bundestag elections with about 29% of the vote. The Alternative for Germany claims second place for the first time in its history, nearly doubling its vote share from the 2021 elections, securing 19.5%. Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democratic Party of Germany ranks third, with approximately 16% of support, a 30% drop from 2021. The Greens and the Left Party follow with 13.5% and 8.5%, respectively.
The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance - Reason and Justice is garnering 4.9-5% and still has a chance to enter parliament.