MOSCOW, April 14. /TASS/. Russia's gas production will reach 1.107 trillion cubic meters by 2050, pipeline gas exports to reach 197 billion cubic meters, and LNG exports to reach 241 billion cubic meters, according to the government-approved Energy Strategy until 2050.
According to the target scenario of the strategy, gas production in Russia will grow by 2030 to 853 billion cubic meters (against 637 billion cubic meters in 2023), by 2036 - to 965 billion cubic meters, by 2050 - to 1.107 trillion cubic meters.
By 2030, total gas exports will increase to 293 billion cubic meters (151 billion cubic meters via pipeline and 142 billion cubic meters of LNG) from 146 billion cubic meters in 2023 (101 billion cubic meters via pipeline and 45 billion cubic meters in the form of LNG).
By 2036, total gas exports will increase to 376 billion cubic meters (197 billion cubic meters by pipeline and 179 billion cubic meters of LNG).
By 2050, total gas exports will increase to 438 billion cubic meters (197 billion cubic meters by pipeline and 241 billion cubic meters of LNG).
"The target scenario assumes a twofold increase in export volumes relative to the 2023 level due to the development of pipeline infrastructure and the implementation of planned projects for the production of liquefied natural gas. This will allow for a 100% reorientation of exports to new markets compared to 2023," the strategy says.
The key areas of development in the gas industry are the mitigation of the negative consequences of the refusal of the European Union countries to cooperate and the cost-effective satisfaction of the growing demand for gas within the country.
Gas supplies to the domestic market will increase to 560 billion cubic meters by 2030 from 496 billion cubic meters in 2023. By 2030 and 2050 they will increase to 589 billion cubic meters and to 669 billion cubic meters, respectively.
The design capacity of export gas pipelines to the countries of the Far East and the Asia-Pacific region will increase from 30 billion cubic meters in 2023 to 98 billion cubic meters in 2030, 2036, and 2050, the document notes. The production of large-scale petrochemicals is planned to increase to 14 million tons by 2030, compared to 7.3 million tons in 2023, and to 18 million tons by 2050. Export deliveries of these products will grow from 2 million tons in 2023 to 7.1 million tons in 2030 and 8.5 million tons in 2050.
"This will lead to an increase in the share of light hydrocarbon raw materials used in petrochemistry to 45% by 2036 and a reduction in the share of imports in the fast-growing domestic polymer market. The development of more than 20 new chains of medium-and low-tonnage chemistry will maximize the cost of raw materials by 5-6 times," the energy strategy emphasizes.