UK, Germany could be drawn into direct conflict with Russia — expert

World November 09, 15:34

According to Alexander Rahr, this possible course of events is directly linked to the concept of Zeitenwende - "an epochal shift"

MOSCOW, November 9. /TASS/. The UK and Germany could become involved in a direct military conflict with Russia, German political analyst Alexander Rahr told TASS, citing the conclusions of experts at an international conference held by the journal WeltTrends.

Experts at the conference suggested that the UK would launch drone and missile strikes on Russian infrastructure, prompting Moscow to attack British industrial facilities. A subsequent declaration of war could require Berlin to support London.

"At first glance, this scenario seems highly unlikely and contrary to the rational logic of international relations," Rahr said.

According to the analyst, this possible course of events is directly linked to the concept of Zeitenwende - "an epochal shift" - which has become a key element of contemporary German political rhetoric and is accompanied by changes in approaches to security, defense and Europe's role in international politics.

Under this scenario, the United States would seek to avoid direct involvement in hostilities. As a result, the confrontation could develop into a conflict with the so-called Coalition of the Willing rather than a full-scale war between NATO and Russia.

Rahr noted that conference participants said Germany is not yet ready for a military conflict of this scale. However, the analyst stressed that German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's consistent support for Vladimir Zelensky's position could contribute to decisions "whose consequences will prove far more serious than originally intended." In German political debate, he is already being referred to ironically as "Ukraine's chancellor."

Against this backdrop, the analyst said, the question arises "whether some members of Europe's elites see the current crisis as an opportunity to create a new Europe that is more independent of the United States, even at the cost of serious military and economic confrontation."

"One possible way to prevent such a turn of events remains a diplomatic settlement of the Ukrainian conflict. In this context, the prospect of a peace agreement by Russia and the United States, with China's support, before the end of 2026 takes on particular importance," the analyst concluded.

Read more on the site →