BANGKOK, March 17. /TASS/. The 30-day ceasefire suggested by the United States may replicate the failed Minsk agreements, which ended up offering Kiev a temporary reprieve, Thai expert in international relations Krissada Phromvek told TASS.

"It is clear that Moscow does not accept the condition of a temporary ceasefire as it will offer a breathing space to the Ukrainian army. I believe that a 30-day ceasefire will allow Ukraine time to prepare for a new confrontation with Russia. However, Ukraine is currently at a disadvantage. In particular, after losing the territories in the Kursk Region, it has been denied the opportunity to set conditions in negotiations with Russia," the associate professor at Ramkhamhaeng University said.

"We see that there are many complex issues that must be resolved before reaching an agreement. These include, for instance, the surrender of Ukrainian troops in the Kursk Region, international recognition of the territories lost by Ukraine and now recognized as Russian, Kiev halting conscription, cessation of Western military aid, and a ban on the deployment of foreign peacekeepers. Meanwhile, Vladimir Zelensky is working hard to show that Kiev accepts the proposals of US President Donald Trump. However, I do not believe that a 30-day ceasefire is a viable approach for future ceasefire efforts, because the root causes remain unresolved. Fighting may resume, repeating the 2015 scenario with the Minsk agreements, which were also intended to establish an immediate ceasefire," the expert added.

Ceasefire discussions

Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov earlier stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin met US Special Presidential Envoy Steve Witkoff on March 13 and asked him to convey a message to US President Donald Trump. The spokesperson did not reveal the specifics of the conversation between Putin and Witkoff. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced on March 12 that Witkoff would travel to Moscow to discuss ways to resolve the Ukraine conflict.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said following Witkoff’s return to the US on March 14 that members of the US administration would "examine the Russian position more closely." According to Rubio, Trump "will then determine" the next steps the US will take regarding the settlement.

On March 11, talks took place in Saudi Arabia’s Jeddah between delegations from the United States and Ukraine. Following these discussions, Ukraine agreed to accept the US proposal for a 30-day ceasefire. In turn, Washington agreed to immediately lift the pause on intelligence sharing and resume military assistance to Kiev. The parties also agreed to sign the agreement on Ukrainian minerals as soon as possible.

On March 13, Putin expressed appreciation to Trump for his involvement in the peace talks and supported the idea of a ceasefire. However, the Russian president raised several critical issues regarding the status of Ukrainian military personnel who had entered the Kursk Region, the mechanisms for monitoring the ceasefire, and Ukraine’s potential actions during this period. He stated that Moscow was open to proposals for ending the Ukraine conflict as long as they paved the way for long-term peace and addressed the underlying causes of the crisis.