Middle East conflict causes loss of 120 bcm of LNG supplies by 2030 — IEA

Business & Economy April 24, 10:55

The losses resulting from the Middle East conflict account for around 15% of the expected global LNG supply over the 2026-2030 period

MOSCOW, April 24. /TASS/. The military conflict in the Middle East has already led to the loss of 120 bln cubic meters (bcm) of liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies to global markets by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency’s Gas Market Report.

"The Middle East conflict has already caused the loss of around 120 bcm of cumulative LNG supply for the period 2026-2030 when considering the combined effect of the near-term supply disruptions and the medium-term implications for supply. The losses resulting from the Middle East conflict account for around 15% of the expected global LNG supply over the 2026-2030 period," the report said.

Since the beginning of March, LNG supplies from Qatar and the UAE have already fallen by a combined 20 bcm due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, restarting LNG plant capacity could take several weeks, resulting in production volumes being roughly another 10 bcm lower than under normal operation.

Iran’s strikes on Qatari plants could reduce Qatar’s LNG production by nearly 70 bcm by 2030, assuming repairs to the damaged lines take about four years. Moreover, Qatar will be forced to delay the North Field East project, which could reduce LNG supplies by approximately another 20 bcm between 2026 and 2030.

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