“Almost 90% of participants in the referendum spoke in favour of independence,” Vladimir Isakov from Higher School of Economics said. “It has demonstrated that the Kiev authorities are waging a war against the population in the east,” he added. “If the United States had not behaved the same way (as residents of Ukraine’s southeast), they still would have been a British colony,” Isakov said.
“A foundation has emerged after the referendum for creating a contract relationship with the Kiev authorities, as these republics (Donetsk and Luhansk) have got a government that may enter into a dialogue with Kiev,” State Duma’s Communist deputy Vadim Solovyov, said. “It will be relying on legitimate support of 90% of the population,” he said, adding that “this is a step towards putting an end to bloodshed in the southeast”. “The Kiev authorities cannot maintain now that they are waging a war against terrorists and gunmen,” he said.
“Referendum is a victory of the southeast,” political analyst from Russian State Humanitarian University Alexander Gushchin said. “The Kiev authorities failed to present any major episode of pressure on voters. The tonality of European media outlets is changing,” he noted. “The referendum has demonstrated that the Kiev authorities cannot take the situation under their control,” Gushchin said.
The president of the Ukrainian Centre for System-Based Analysis and Forecasting, Rostislav Ishchenko, sounded less optimistic. He said federalization of Ukraine was not under discussion in the present situation, as “regions voted for independence”. “It is not federalization that is the point at issue now, but forms of a more or less satisfactory divorce,” he said. According to Ishchenko, Kiev and Washington “must realize that it will be only worse in the future - the army of southeast will not just be protecting itself but will also attack”. The political analyst believes “the Kiev authorities must recognize (south-eastern regions) as equal partners de facto”.
“So far there are no reasons to believe the referendum will stop bloodshed. But it will make it possible to counterbalance the quasi-legitimate government in Kiev with no less legitimate authorities in the southeast,” he said. The political analyst regards the situation so that “the Kiev authorities will rather bring the situation to a full-scale confrontation than to a more or less stable situation”.
According to Ukrainian political analyst Ishchenko, “Russia and the European Union will manage to agree on the Ukrainian crisis after elections to European Parliament and after the European Commission gets a new lineup”. At the present time “Kiev is under control of the US, and they don’t have to agree with anyone,” he said.
Political analyst Gushchin from Russian State Humanitarian University echoed him by saying “the key to the settlement (of the Ukrainian crisis) is in the sphere of international politics,” while “the United States is a factor of destabilization” in Ukraine.