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Adoption of amnesty law unlikely to change Ukraine’s situation

January 30, 2014, 16:12 UTC+3 HELSINKI
"Amnesty and the cabinet’s resignation are belated steps," expert at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs Arkady Moshes says
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Ukrainian opposition lawmakers react after voting during an extraordinary session of the Ukrainian parliament in Kiev, Ukraine, 29 January 2014

Ukrainian opposition lawmakers react after voting during an extraordinary session of the Ukrainian parliament in Kiev, Ukraine, 29 January 2014

© EPA/SERGEY DOLZHENKO

HELSINKI, January 30. /ITAR-TASS/. Ukrainian parliament’s adoption of a bill on amnesty to be given to protesters arrested during anti-government demonstrations and resignation of the cabinet will unlikely drastically change the situation in that country, an expert at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, Arkady Moshes, told Itar-Tass on Thursday.

“Amnesty and the cabinet’s resignation are belated steps. For the radical part of the opposition they look natural and insufficient. At the same time, simply the resignation of the interior minister could have helped to defuse protests that have been peaceful for almost two months,” he said.

In the current situation even if traditional leaders of the opposition came to an agreement, it was not evident that “the radical wing will find it acceptable for itself,” the expert said. “Now there are at least two and a half forces in the Ukrainian conflict, therefore it is difficult to make forecasts.”

The new presidential election could end protests, Moshes said, adding that if incumbent President Viktor Yanukovich won the race, this could be the start for restoring legitimacy of the Ukrainian authorities lost during the conflict.

“It cannot be restored through the use of force and “top-level” agreements. But the probability of such a scenario is very low,” he said.

Moshes noted that at the moment he saw no opportunities for the creation “of the government of national confidence,” where representatives of all political forces could enter. “There is no sense for the opposition to take responsibility for the existing economic situation in the country,” he said, naming this as one of the reasons.

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