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The Civil Society Development Foundation /FoRGO/ prepared the second report for the Single Voting Day on September 8 featuring the key scenario where the winner is pre-determined and the elections are actually a referendum on confidence in the authorities. FoRGO believes this is what will happen in Moscow and the Moscow region. Competitive elections in several regions are explained by the weak positions of the ruling party's candidates. On Wednesday, FoRGO chairman Konstantin Kostin who headed the domestic policy department of the presidential administration in 2011-2012, will present the new report on gubernatorial and mayoral elections in 2013 with scenarios of election campaigns and prognoses.
The authors of the report believe that "competitive" scenarios will be an exception from the rule, the RBC Daily writes. On gubernatorial campaigns, the authors of the report said the candidates did not have enough time /except in Moscow which will hold an early election/ for promotional campaign and mobilization of their resources. They also pointed out that the voting results were pre-determined. "In seven regions, the elections will take place under the "referendum scenarios." In the Baikal region, the elections will be competitive, the report said.
The Kommersant notes that the authors of the report said the gubernatorial and mayoral elections in 2013 run as "referenda," where the voter casts his ballot for or against the front-runner. To vote against, he votes for one of the remaining candidates, the report said. The "referendum gubernatorial elections" imply Vladimir Putin's support for the key candidate and his appointment as acting regional governor. This election pattern is found in the elections of Vyacheslav Shport /Khabarovsk Territory/, Svetlana Orlova /Vladimir region/, Andrei Vorobyev /Moscow region/, Vladimir Pecheny /Magadan region/, Viktor Zimin /Khakasia/, Roman Kopin /Chukotka Autonomous Area/ and Sergei Sobyanin /Moscow/.
Experts noted that in Moscow and the Moscow region, the referendum elections required extra measures to acknowledge their legality. The role of such "legitimizers" is played by Alexei Navalny in Moscow and Gennady Gudkov in the Moscow region.