WASHINGTON, November 13. /TASS/. The Russian economy will show a rebound not earlier than in 2015, with economic growth expected at 0.5% next year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in analytical notes prepared for the G20 summit in Australia on November 15-16.
The Russian economy will be specifically affected by geopolitical tensions and low world oil prices, IMF experts said. World oil prices have fallen by 20% since early September amid slower global economic activity and increased crude oil output in the non-OPEC countries, the IMF analytical notes said. The IMF expects global economy to grow by 3.3% this year.
Russia’s Central Bank earlier lowered its forecast on the country’s GDP growth in 2014 to 0.3%.
The regulator explained its forecast downgrade by “the cumulative impact of external and structural factors,” which caused a slowdown in the growth rates of the Russian economy.
“Instead of the GDP growth acceleration expected earlier (from 1.3% in 2013 to 2% in 2014), the Bank of Russia now projects its slowdown to 0.3% in 2014,” according to the specified monetary policy guidelines.
The regulator’s previous monetary policy guidelines projected the country’s GDP growth at 0.4% in 2014.
Russia’s annual inflation has reached 8.6%, Central Bank First Deputy Chief Ksenia Yudayeva said on Wednesday. “As of today, annual inflation has reached 8.6%,” Yudayeva said in the State Duma (the lower house of Russia’s parliament).
In its specified monetary policy guidelines for 2015 and for 2016-2017, the Central Bank of Russia raised the inflation forecast to 8.2-8.4% from 7.5% this year.
Russian Economic Development Minister Alexey Ulyukayev said inflation may reach no less than 8.5% in 2014 compared with the ministry’s official forecast of 7.5%.